SCSA Mathematics Specialist Statistical inference

5 sample questions with marking guides and sample answers · Avg. score: 20.7%

Q5
2022
QCAA
Paper 2
1 mark
Q5
1 mark

A random sample of the petrol price per litre at 50 petrol stations produced a sample mean of $1.52 and a standard deviation of $0.14.
Based on this sample and using a zz-value of 1.5, an approximate confidence interval for μ\mu is

A

($1.47, $1.57)

B

($1.48, $1.56)

C

($1.49, $1.55)

D

($1.50, $1.54)

Q1
2021
QCAA
Paper 2
1 mark
Q1
1 mark

The time taken to complete orders at a pizza store is normally distributed with a mean time (μ\mu) of 10 minutes.
The owner of the pizza store records the time taken to complete orders for a random sample of 20 pizzas each day over a 30-day period. From this data, an approximate 90% confidence interval for μ\mu is calculated at the end of each day.
How many of these confidence intervals would be expected to contain μ\mu?

A

3

B

18

C

27

D

30

Q15
2023
SCSA
Paper 2
9 marks
Q15

The WeLuvYas Bank extends personal loans to approved customers. A random sample of nn personal loans is taken. A 99% confidence interval for the population mean loan μ\mu (in thousands of dollars) based on this sample is 10.2<μ<25.410.2 < \mu < 25.4.

Q15a
2 marks

What is the mean personal loan x\overline{x} for this sample?

Q15b
2 marks

Calculate the standard deviation of the sample mean.

Q15c
2 marks

Ali exclaims excitedly 'everyone here at WeLuvYas is 99% certain that the true population mean is within the interval 10.2<μ<25.410.2 < \mu < 25.4'.

State two reasons why Ali is not correct.

Q15d
3 marks

A data analyst discovers that the sample size was actually 2n2n. In addition to this, the sample mean was actually $2000 more than that originally determined.

Re-calculate the 99% confidence interval for the population mean on the basis of the updated information.

Q14
2022
SCSA
Paper 2
6 marks
Q14

The annual incomes (in thousands of dollars) of a random sample of nn Australians is taken. The sample standard deviation is 10.98. A 99% confidence interval I1I_1 based on this sample is 90μ9490 \le \mu \le 94.

Q14a
2 marks

Calculate the value of the sample size nn.

Q14b
2 marks

Another random sample of size nn is taken and a 99% confidence interval I2I_2 is calculated.

State two aspects in which the intervals I1I_1 and I2I_2 may be different.

Q14c
2 marks

A third random sample of size 50 is taken and a 99% confidence interval I3I_3 is calculated. James suggests that since interval I3I_3 is the widest, it is more likely to contain the population mean Australian income μ\mu.

Is James correct? Justify your answer.

Q12
2022
SCSA
Paper 2
9 marks
Q12

The inner diameter of a cylinder in a motor car engine is critical to its performance. Let μ\mu mm denote the population mean cylinder diameter produced by a manufacturing process. A random sample, R1R_1, of 100 cylinder diameters is taken and the standard deviation for this sample was found to be 1 mm.

Let X=\overline{X} = the sample mean cylinder diameter for sample R1R_1.

Q12c

From random sample R1R_1, a 95% confidence interval for μ\mu is formed.

Q12a
3 marks

State the distribution for X\overline{X} and its parameters.

Q12b
2 marks

What is the probability that X\overline{X} differs from μ\mu by more than 0.2 mm. Give your answer correct to 0.001.

Q12c
2 marks

Calculate the width of this confidence interval, correct to 0.001.

Q12d
2 marks

Lilian, the production manager, wishes to decrease the width of the confidence interval. She suggests:

"We can form sample R2R_2 by using the data from sample R1R_1 and then combining this data with itself to form a sample with 200 observations. Using n=200n = 200 will decrease the width of the confidence interval."

State two major problems with using this idea.

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.\\n\\nState **two** reasons why Ali is not correct.\",\"marks\":2,\"questionType\":\"short_answer\",\"mcOptions\":null,\"rubric\":{\"sampleAnswer\":\"Ali is not correct. It can be said that:\\n1. A single confidence interval either contains $\\\\mu$ or it doesn't.\\n2. The value of $\\\\mu$ is unknown so we do not know if any given CI contains $\\\\mu$.\\n3. If we repeatedly take samples of size $n$ then we will find that approximately 99% of these intervals will contain the true value of $\\\\mu$.\\n4. The value of $n$ may be less than 30, meaning that the distribution of the sample mean may not be distributed, hence the 99% confidence interval may not be valid.\",\"mcExplanations\":null,\"columns\":[{\"name\":\"Response\",\"isMarkingBands\":false,\"criteria\":[{\"descriptor\":\"states one reason\",\"marks\":1},{\"descriptor\":\"states a second reason\",\"marks\":1}]}]}},{\"partLabel\":\"d\",\"questionText\":\"A data analyst discovers that the sample size was actually $2n$. In addition to this, the sample mean was actually \\\\$2000 more than that originally determined.\\n\\nRe-calculate the 99% confidence interval for the population mean on the basis of the updated information.\",\"marks\":3,\"questionType\":\"short_answer\",\"mcOptions\":null,\"rubric\":{\"sampleAnswer\":\"The confidence interval changes is two ways.\\n1. The whole interval is translated upwards by 2.\\n2. The standard error $\\\\sigma(\\\\overline{X})$ and consequently the width of the interval is scaled by a factor of $\\\\frac{1}{\\\\sqrt{2}}$:\\n$\\n\\\\begin{align*}\\nw &= 2.5758 \\\\times \\\\frac{s}{\\\\sqrt{2n}} \\\\\\\\\\n&= \\\\left(2.5758 \\\\times \\\\frac{s}{\\\\sqrt{n}}\\\\right) \\\\times \\\\frac{1}{\\\\sqrt{2}}\\\\\\\\\\n&= (7.6) \\\\times \\\\frac{1}{\\\\sqrt{2}} \\\\\\\\\\n&= 5.37\\n\\\\end{align*}\\n$\\n$\\n\\\\begin{align*}\\n\\\\text{New confidence interval:}\\\\quad 17.8+2 - 5.37 < &\\\\mu < 17.8+2 + 5.37\\\\\\\\\\n\\\\text{i.e.}\\\\quad 14.43 < &\\\\mu < 25.17\\n\\\\end{align*}\\n$\",\"mcExplanations\":null,\"columns\":[{\"name\":\"Response\",\"isMarkingBands\":false,\"criteria\":[{\"descriptor\":\"indicates the midpoint of the confidence interval is increased by 2\",\"marks\":1},{\"descriptor\":\"calculates the new standard deviation correctly\",\"marks\":1},{\"descriptor\":\"calculates the new confidence interval correctly\",\"marks\":1}]}]}}]},{\"questionNumber\":14,\"year\":2022,\"paper\":2,\"authorName\":\"SCSA\",\"calculatorAllowed\":true,\"inlineStimulus\":[{\"part\":null,\"text\":\"The annual incomes (in thousands of dollars) of a random sample of $n$ Australians is taken. The sample standard deviation is 10.98. A 99% confidence interval $I_1$ based on this sample is $90 \\\\le \\\\mu \\\\le 94$.\"}],\"parts\":[{\"partLabel\":\"a\",\"questionText\":\"Calculate the value of the sample size $n$.\",\"marks\":2,\"questionType\":\"short_answer\",\"mcOptions\":null,\"rubric\":{\"sampleAnswer\":\"For 99% confidence using $k = 2.576$\\n$2 = (2.576)\\\\left(\\\\frac{10.98}{\\\\sqrt{n}}\\\\right) \\\\quad \\\\text{Solving gives } n = 200.0029... \\\\quad \\\\text{i.e. } n = 200$\",\"mcExplanations\":null,\"columns\":[{\"name\":\"Working\",\"isMarkingBands\":false,\"criteria\":[{\"descriptor\":\"uses the correct half-width of the interval to correctly form the equation for $n$\",\"marks\":1},{\"descriptor\":\"determines the sample size as an integer\",\"marks\":1}]}]}},{\"partLabel\":\"b\",\"questionText\":\"Another random sample of size $n$ is taken and a 99% confidence interval $I_2$ is calculated.\\n\\nState **two** aspects in which the intervals $I_1$ and $I_2$ may be different.\",\"marks\":2,\"questionType\":\"short_answer\",\"mcOptions\":null,\"rubric\":{\"sampleAnswer\":\"1. The intervals may have different midpoints, as the sample means from the two sample may be different.\\n2. The intervals may have different widths, as the sample standard deviations may be different.\",\"mcExplanations\":null,\"columns\":[{\"name\":\"Response\",\"isMarkingBands\":false,\"criteria\":[{\"descriptor\":\"states the interval midpoints may be different due to the different sample means\",\"marks\":1},{\"descriptor\":\"states the interval widths may be different due to the different sample standard deviations\",\"marks\":1}]}]}},{\"partLabel\":\"c\",\"questionText\":\"A third random sample of size 50 is taken and a 99% confidence interval $I_3$ is calculated. James suggests that since interval $I_3$ is the widest, it is more likely to contain the population mean Australian income $\\\\mu$.\\n\\nIs James correct? Justify your answer.\",\"marks\":2,\"questionType\":\"short_answer\",\"mcOptions\":null,\"rubric\":{\"sampleAnswer\":\"No James is NOT correct.\\nThe interval is wider because it is based on data with more variation in it. Consequently, the sample mean has more variation. That is, the location of the interval is more variable. We cannot be sure that any confidence interval contains the true mean.\",\"mcExplanations\":null,\"columns\":[{\"name\":\"Response\",\"isMarkingBands\":false,\"criteria\":[{\"descriptor\":\"states that James is NOT correct\",\"marks\":1},{\"descriptor\":\"provides correct justification (we cannot be certain that any confidence interval contains the mean)\",\"marks\":1}]}]}}]},{\"questionNumber\":12,\"year\":2022,\"paper\":2,\"authorName\":\"SCSA\",\"calculatorAllowed\":true,\"inlineStimulus\":[{\"part\":null,\"text\":\"The inner diameter of a cylinder in a motor car engine is critical to its performance. Let $\\\\mu$ mm denote the population mean cylinder diameter produced by a manufacturing process. A random sample, $R_1$, of 100 cylinder diameters is taken and the standard deviation for this sample was found to be 1 mm.\\n\\nLet $\\\\overline{X} =$ the sample mean cylinder diameter for sample $R_1$.\"},{\"part\":\"c\",\"text\":\"From random sample $R_1$, a 95% confidence interval for $\\\\mu$ is formed.\"}],\"parts\":[{\"partLabel\":\"a\",\"questionText\":\"State the distribution for $\\\\overline{X}$ and its parameters.\",\"marks\":3,\"questionType\":\"short_answer\",\"mcOptions\":null,\"rubric\":{\"sampleAnswer\":\"Since $n = 100 > 30$, then $\\\\overline{X} \\\\sim N\\\\left(\\\\mu, \\\\sigma_{\\\\overline{X}}^2\\\\right)$ \\n\\ni.e. normally distributed and centred with a mean $\\\\mu$ and estimated standard deviation of the sample mean\\n$\\\\sigma\\\\left(\\\\overline{X}\\\\right) = \\\\frac{1}{\\\\sqrt{100}} = 0.1 \\\\text{ mm}.$\",\"mcExplanations\":null,\"columns\":[{\"name\":\"Response\",\"isMarkingBands\":false,\"criteria\":[{\"descriptor\":\"states that the sample mean will be normally distributed\",\"marks\":1},{\"descriptor\":\"states the mean of the distribution is $\\\\mu$\",\"marks\":1},{\"descriptor\":\"states the expected standard deviation is $0.1 \\\\text{ mm}$\",\"marks\":1}]}]}},{\"partLabel\":\"b\",\"questionText\":\"What is the probability that $\\\\overline{X}$ differs from $\\\\mu$ by more than 0.2 mm. Give your answer correct to 0.001.\",\"marks\":2,\"questionType\":\"short_answer\",\"mcOptions\":null,\"rubric\":{\"sampleAnswer\":\"$P\\\\left(\\\\left|\\\\overline{X} - \\\\mu\\\\right| > 0.2\\\\right) = P(|z| > 2) = 2(0.023) = 0.046$\",\"mcExplanations\":null,\"columns\":[{\"name\":\"Response\",\"isMarkingBands\":false,\"criteria\":[{\"descriptor\":\"forms the correct probability statement in terms of $z$\",\"marks\":1},{\"descriptor\":\"calculates the probability correct to $0.001$\",\"marks\":1}]}]}},{\"partLabel\":\"c\",\"questionText\":\"Calculate the width of this confidence interval, correct to 0.001.\",\"marks\":2,\"questionType\":\"short_answer\",\"mcOptions\":null,\"rubric\":{\"sampleAnswer\":\"Width $w = 2(k)\\\\left(\\\\sigma\\\\left(\\\\overline{X}\\\\right)\\\\right) = 2(1.96)(0.1) = 0.392$\",\"mcExplanations\":null,\"columns\":[{\"name\":\"Response\",\"isMarkingBands\":false,\"criteria\":[{\"descriptor\":\"forms the correct expression for the width\",\"marks\":1},{\"descriptor\":\"calculates the width correctly\",\"marks\":1}]}]}},{\"partLabel\":\"d\",\"questionText\":\"Lilian, the production manager, wishes to decrease the width of the confidence interval. She suggests:\\n\\n\\\"We can form sample $R_2$ by using the data from sample $R_1$ and then combining this data with itself to form a sample with 200 observations. Using $n = 200$ will decrease the width of the confidence interval.\\\"\\n\\nState **two** major problems with using this idea.\",\"marks\":2,\"questionType\":\"short_answer\",\"mcOptions\":null,\"rubric\":{\"sampleAnswer\":\"Any 2 of the following:\\n\\n1. The idea simply replicates (repeats) the data in sample $R_1$. As such the sample $R_2$ is no longer random. Therefore the assumptions for using the normal distribution for the sample mean does not hold anymore.\\n2. Repeating the data values in sample $R_1$ will not reflect the true random variation in the data (manufacturing process). The confidence interval will therefore not be a true representation of the variation in the sample mean.\\n3. The sample mean and standard deviation will change if a new larger sample is taken. However, with Lillian's idea these will not change. This will affect both the width and location of the confidence interval.\\n4. Replicating the sample does NOT decrease the width of the confidence interval. Let the sample observations for $R_1$ be $x_1, x_2, \\\\dots, x_{100}$.\\n$\\n\\\\begin{align*}\\n\\\\overline{X_2} = \\\\frac{\\\\sum_{i=1}^{100} 2x_i}{200} = \\\\overline{X_1} \\\\quad \\\\text{similarly } s_1^2 = s_2^2 \\\\quad \\\\text{so } \\\\overline{X_2} \\\\sim N\\\\left(\\\\mu, 0.1^2\\\\right).\\n\\\\end{align*}\\n$\",\"mcExplanations\":null,\"columns\":[{\"name\":\"Response\",\"isMarkingBands\":false,\"criteria\":[{\"descriptor\":\"states that the $R_2$ data will no longer be a random sample\",\"marks\":1},{\"descriptor\":\"states that the assumptions for using the normal distribution for the sample mean does not hold anymore (i.e. states any two of the four points outlined in the solution)\",\"marks\":1}]}]}}]}]}")

SCSA Mathematics Specialist Statistical inference

5 sample questions with marking guides and sample answers · Avg. score: 20.7%

Q5
2022
QCAA
Paper 2
1 mark
Q5
1 mark

A random sample of the petrol price per litre at 50 petrol stations produced a sample mean of $1.52 and a standard deviation of $0.14.
Based on this sample and using a zz-value of 1.5, an approximate confidence interval for μ\mu is

A

($1.47, $1.57)

B

($1.48, $1.56)

C

($1.49, $1.55)

D

($1.50, $1.54)

Q1
2021
QCAA
Paper 2
1 mark
Q1
1 mark

The time taken to complete orders at a pizza store is normally distributed with a mean time (μ\mu) of 10 minutes.
The owner of the pizza store records the time taken to complete orders for a random sample of 20 pizzas each day over a 30-day period. From this data, an approximate 90% confidence interval for μ\mu is calculated at the end of each day.
How many of these confidence intervals would be expected to contain μ\mu?

A

3

B

18

C

27

D

30

Q15
2023
SCSA
Paper 2
9 marks
Q15

The WeLuvYas Bank extends personal loans to approved customers. A random sample of nn personal loans is taken. A 99% confidence interval for the population mean loan μ\mu (in thousands of dollars) based on this sample is 10.2<μ<25.410.2 < \mu < 25.4.

Q15a
2 marks

What is the mean personal loan x\overline{x} for this sample?

Q15b
2 marks

Calculate the standard deviation of the sample mean.

Q15c
2 marks

Ali exclaims excitedly 'everyone here at WeLuvYas is 99% certain that the true population mean is within the interval 10.2<μ<25.410.2 < \mu < 25.4'.

State two reasons why Ali is not correct.

Q15d
3 marks

A data analyst discovers that the sample size was actually 2n2n. In addition to this, the sample mean was actually $2000 more than that originally determined.

Re-calculate the 99% confidence interval for the population mean on the basis of the updated information.

Q14
2022
SCSA
Paper 2
6 marks
Q14

The annual incomes (in thousands of dollars) of a random sample of nn Australians is taken. The sample standard deviation is 10.98. A 99% confidence interval I1I_1 based on this sample is 90μ9490 \le \mu \le 94.

Q14a
2 marks

Calculate the value of the sample size nn.

Q14b
2 marks

Another random sample of size nn is taken and a 99% confidence interval I2I_2 is calculated.

State two aspects in which the intervals I1I_1 and I2I_2 may be different.

Q14c
2 marks

A third random sample of size 50 is taken and a 99% confidence interval I3I_3 is calculated. James suggests that since interval I3I_3 is the widest, it is more likely to contain the population mean Australian income μ\mu.

Is James correct? Justify your answer.

Q12
2022
SCSA
Paper 2
9 marks
Q12

The inner diameter of a cylinder in a motor car engine is critical to its performance. Let μ\mu mm denote the population mean cylinder diameter produced by a manufacturing process. A random sample, R1R_1, of 100 cylinder diameters is taken and the standard deviation for this sample was found to be 1 mm.

Let X=\overline{X} = the sample mean cylinder diameter for sample R1R_1.

Q12c

From random sample R1R_1, a 95% confidence interval for μ\mu is formed.

Q12a
3 marks

State the distribution for X\overline{X} and its parameters.

Q12b
2 marks

What is the probability that X\overline{X} differs from μ\mu by more than 0.2 mm. Give your answer correct to 0.001.

Q12c
2 marks

Calculate the width of this confidence interval, correct to 0.001.

Q12d
2 marks

Lilian, the production manager, wishes to decrease the width of the confidence interval. She suggests:

"We can form sample R2R_2 by using the data from sample R1R_1 and then combining this data with itself to form a sample with 200 observations. Using n=200n = 200 will decrease the width of the confidence interval."

State two major problems with using this idea.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many SCSA Mathematics Specialist questions cover Statistical inference?
AusGrader has 93 SCSA Mathematics Specialist questions on Statistical inference, all with instant AI grading and detailed marking feedback.

Ready to practise SCSA Mathematics Specialist?

Get instant AI feedback on past exam questions, aligned to the syllabus

Start Practising Free