SCSA Economics Economic skills
15 sample questions with marking guides and sample answers · Avg. score: 52.7%
If the marginal propensity to consume is 0.8, an increase in investment of $100bn would cause income to
rise by $100bn.
rise by $500bn.
fall by $80bn.
fall by $20bn.
Reveal Answer
rise by $100bn.
Incorrect. This assumes a multiplier of 1, which would only occur if the marginal propensity to consume was 0.
rise by $500bn.
Correct. The spending multiplier is calculated as . With an MPC of 0.8, the multiplier is 5, so a $100bn increase in investment leads to a $500bn rise in income.
fall by $80bn.
Incorrect. This incorrectly multiplies the initial investment by the MPC () and assumes a decrease in income rather than an increase.
fall by $20bn.
Incorrect. This incorrectly multiplies the initial investment by the marginal propensity to save () and assumes a decrease in income.
An economic scenario is provided.
The 2021/22 federal budget is expected to deliver a deficit of $4.2b at the end of June 2022. A $7.1b surplus is anticipated the following year.
(Forecast released May 2022)
Export data shows coal exports are expected to fall from 2021 to 2022 by approximately $70 billion.
(Data released 10 July 2022)
CPI data shows that movements in the consumer price index (CPI) and the wage price index (WPI) were below 2% for the three years to June 2022.
(Data updated 31 July 2022)
Use the scenario to explain two relationships and their economic effects. Evaluate the merit of achieving a budget surplus in your answer.
Reveal Answer
The CPI data shows there are no inflation pressures from consumer prices or wages, indicating the economy has not experienced demand pressures for three years.
The export data demonstrates that Australia has some external stability pressures, because the export value of coal has fallen by $70 billion.
These two datasets, in the absence of further information, indicate that economic activity is weakening. They also provide evidence of negative forces acting within Australia’s economy that require stimulatory policies.
Proposals to achieve a federal budget surplus as expected cannot be justified at this time, because it would mean contracting the economy, which could result in inflation and wages falling further. The fall in wages would be expected to cause households to defer spending and save, causing a flow-on effect on business investment. This would result in several negative forces acting on aggregate demand and reducing economic growth. Consequently, the productive capacity of the economy should be increased.
Data Relationships
Marking Bands| Descriptor | Marks |
|---|---|
Explains a relationship to – domestic aggregate demand pressures (inflation) – external stability pressures (exports) | 2 |
Identifies a relationship linked to either the inflation data or the export data | 1 |
Does not satisfy any of the descriptors below. | 0 |
Economic Activity Deduction
Marking Bands| Descriptor | Marks |
|---|---|
Deduces that economic activity is weak based on the 2 datasets, identifies ceteris paribus | 3 |
Deduces that economic activity is weak based on the 2 datasets OR deduces that economic activity is weak based on 1 dataset, identifies ceteris paribus | 2 |
Identifies that economic activity is weak | 1 |
Does not satisfy any of the descriptors below. | 0 |
Policy Conclusion
Marking Bands| Descriptor | Marks |
|---|---|
Draws a conclusion that stimulus is required so there is no merit in a budget surplus, provides detailed reasoning using an economic criterion | 4 |
Draws a conclusion that stimulus is required so there is no merit in a budget surplus, provides reasoning using an economic criterion OR draws a conclusion that stimulus is required, provides detailed reasoning referring to the sources | 3 |
Draws a conclusion that stimulus is required, identifies a reason using an economic criterion | 2 |
Identifies that contracting the economy is not warranted | 1 |
Does not satisfy any of the descriptors below. | 0 |
Assume the economy is at a trough position on the economic cycle.
ECONOMIC UPDATE
- A tighter overseas monetary policy is expected to contribute to weaker global GDP growth.
- International supply chain delays are reducing.
- The university sector is moving to online teaching to reach international students.
What should the monetary policy stance be after the updated economic data is taken into account?
expansionary, because there will be less injections from the international sector
neutral, because income flow between some sectors is balanced
neutral, because supply chains are developing new trade routes
contractionary, because the economy is expanding
Reveal Answer
expansionary, because there will be less injections from the international sector
Since the economy is at a trough and facing weaker global growth, exports (injections) will decrease. Expansionary monetary policy is required to stimulate aggregate demand and counteract the negative external shock.
neutral, because income flow between some sectors is balanced
A neutral stance is appropriate when an economy is near full employment, not at a trough. The balance of flows between specific sectors does not negate the overall need for stimulus during a downturn.
neutral, because supply chains are developing new trade routes
While improved supply chains are positive for aggregate supply, they do not address the lack of aggregate demand characteristic of an economic trough. The economy requires stimulus, not a neutral stance.
contractionary, because the economy is expanding
The economy is stated to be at a 'trough,' which is the lowest point of the cycle, not an expansion. Contractionary policy would further reduce economic activity and worsen the downturn.
Which policy mix is the most appropriate in the following scenario?
- Annual consumer price index movement: () 100 to () 102.
- Nominal gross domestic product movement: () $9.3 billion to () $9.5 billion.
- Non-accelerating inflationary rate of unemployment: () 4.5% to () 4.0%.
- Dwelling approvals have fallen slightly from to .
expansionary monetary and fiscal policy
neutral monetary and fiscal policy stance
expansionary monetary policy and neutral fiscal policy stance
neutral monetary policy and fiscal policy that contracts the economy
Reveal Answer
expansionary monetary and fiscal policy
This option is incorrect because expansionary policies are typically reserved for periods of recession or deflation. With inflation at a stable (calculated from the CPI rise from 100 to 102), aggressive stimulus could risk pushing inflation above the target range.
neutral monetary and fiscal policy stance
This is the correct option. The inflation rate is , which is within the standard target band (e.g., 2–3%), and nominal GDP is growing. Since the economy is exhibiting price stability and the NAIRU has improved (allowing for lower unemployment without inflation), a neutral stance is appropriate to maintain equilibrium.
expansionary monetary policy and neutral fiscal policy stance
This option is incorrect. While dwelling approvals have fallen slightly, the overall macroeconomic indicators (specifically the inflation rate) do not suggest a need for monetary stimulus, which is usually employed to boost low inflation or combat rising unemployment.
neutral monetary policy and fiscal policy that contracts the economy
This option is incorrect because contractionary fiscal policy is used to cool down an overheating economy with high inflation. Since inflation is stable at and dwelling approvals are already softening, contracting the economy would risk stalling growth unnecessarily.
If the consumption function is , an increase in government spending of $5 million would increase total income by
$50 million.
$1.5 million.
$3.5 million.
$25 million.
Reveal Answer
$50 million.
Incorrect. This would be the result if the multiplier were 10, which would require a marginal propensity to consume of 0.9 rather than 0.8.
$1.5 million.
Incorrect. This value does not result from multiplying the $5 million increase in government spending by the correct multiplier of 5.
$3.5 million.
Incorrect. This value does not result from multiplying the $5 million increase in government spending by the correct multiplier of 5.
$25 million.
Correct. The marginal propensity to consume is 0.8, so the government spending multiplier is . Multiplying this by the $5 million increase in spending yields an increase in total income of $25 million.
Hypothetical annual data for an economy similar to Australia’s economy is shown.
- Cash rate: 8% and rising
- Exchange rate: with major trading partner has appreciated AUD $0.80 to AUD $1.00
- Housing prices: rise 10% per annum
- Petrol and gas prices: 1% increase over past year
- Health costs: rise 12% since last year
- Labour under-utilisation rate: 4% and falling
Analyse the data to decide whether its central bank should continue its current monetary policy stance.
Reveal Answer
The economy appears to be in an expansionary phase of the economic cycle. This is evidenced by the low labour underutilisation rate of 4% and falling, indicating a high demand for labour and the potential for inflation. It is further supported by the rising rate of health costs (12%) and housing prices (10%), which both indicate inflationary pressures, as their costs are difficult to avoid or minimise.
However, there are three forces that are offsetting the rising domestic demand pressures. Petrol and gas prices are not inflationary, as they have only risen 1% annually, which may reflect falling international prices for oil or the dollar's appreciation. With the appreciation of the economy's dollar to parity with its major trading partner, export demand should be falling. This is because export prices would be rising, making them less competitive in international markets. Further, demand for imports would be rising, as their prices fall due to the dollar's appreciation, meaning greater withdrawals from the economy and contractionary forces.
Consequently, assuming the data is representative of the whole economy, the central bank could hold off on further cash rate rises while it monitors opposing forces within the economy.
Expansionary
| Descriptor | Marks |
|---|---|
Identifies inflation pressures exist | 1 |
Interprets labour forces as expansionary, using data | 1 |
Interprets increase in health costs as inflationary, using data | 1 |
Interprets increase in housing costs as inflationary, using data | 1 |
Contractionary
| Descriptor | Marks |
|---|---|
Identifies offsetting contractionary forces exist | 1 |
Interprets petrol prices are not inflationary, using data | 1 |
Interprets $AUD effect on exports as contractionary | 1 |
Interprets $AUD effect on imports as contractionary | 1 |
Decision
| Descriptor | Marks |
|---|---|
Makes a decision about MP movements | 1 |
Provides reasoning for the decision made | 1 |
Describes a caveat | 1 |
To improve housing affordability, a government plans to release more land for houses and introduce a first home owners’ grant. The likely impact is that house prices
should increase.
should decrease.
cannot be predicted.
would remain unchanged.
Reveal Answer
should increase.
This is incorrect because while the grant increases demand (pushing prices up), the release of land increases supply (pushing prices down), creating opposing forces.
should decrease.
This is incorrect because although increasing land supply puts downward pressure on prices, the increased demand from the grant puts upward pressure on prices.
cannot be predicted.
Releasing land increases supply () which lowers prices, while the grant increases demand () which raises prices. Since these shifts have opposing effects on price, the net outcome depends on the relative magnitude of the shifts and cannot be determined.
would remain unchanged.
This is incorrect because the opposing forces of supply and demand are unlikely to exactly cancel each other out, making the outcome indeterminate rather than static.
Aggregate supply policies are designed to
maximise production in an economy.
improve supply-side conditions so that domestic macroeconomic goals and enhanced living standards can be more easily achieved.
ensure aggregate supply is always exceeding aggregate demand so that there are no shortfalls of supply in the economy.
ensure that output is boosted in the short run to allow for the achievement of macroeconomic goals.
Reveal Answer
maximise production in an economy.
While these policies aim to increase productive capacity, simply maximizing production without considering sustainability or demand can lead to resource depletion and economic imbalances.
improve supply-side conditions so that domestic macroeconomic goals and enhanced living standards can be more easily achieved.
Aggregate supply policies target structural conditions to increase the economy's productive capacity, which helps achieve long-term goals like low inflation, sustainable growth, and higher living standards.
ensure aggregate supply is always exceeding aggregate demand so that there are no shortfalls of supply in the economy.
If aggregate supply constantly exceeded aggregate demand, the economy would experience persistent surpluses, leading to deflation, wasted resources, and rising unemployment.
ensure that output is boosted in the short run to allow for the achievement of macroeconomic goals.
Aggregate supply policies are primarily focused on expanding productive capacity in the long run, whereas aggregate demand policies are typically used for short-run economic stabilization.
Consider the following data for a hypothetical economy.
| Quarter | Real GDP ($ billion) |
|---|---|
| June 2021 | 50 |
| September 2021 | 56 |
| December 2021 | 57 |
| March 2022 | 40 |
| June 2022 | 48 |
Using this data, the rate of economic growth for the year ended June 2022 was
-2%
-4%
-20%
12%
Reveal Answer
-2%
This represents the absolute change in Real GDP (-$\2 billion) rather than the percentage growth rate.
-4%
The annual economic growth rate is calculated as the percentage change from June 2021 to June 2022: .
-20%
This is the growth rate from June 2021 to March 2022 (), not for the full year ended June 2022.
12%
This is the growth rate for the single quarter from June 2021 to September 2021 ().
These measures are extracts from an Australian federal budget scenario.
- Introduction of a temporary budget repair levy on incomes over $150 000 for three years.
- Assistance for low-income single parents with a new allowance of $1000 per annum for each child aged 6 to 12.
- Continuation of the move by the former government to increase the Age Pension age limit to 69 by 1 July 2023, and further increase the Age Pension age limit to 72 by 1 July 2035.
- A temporary pause on CPI indexation of payments and programs including eligibility thresholds for Family Tax Benefit and JobSeeker; thresholds for the Medicare Levy Surcharge, Private Health Insurance Rebate and most Medicare Benefits Schedule fees; and Local Government Financial Assistance Grants.
- A reduction in the growth of federal hospital and education funding to make the states more accountable for spending and delivery of services.
Based on the initiatives presented, explain the fiscal stance in this federal budget.
Reveal Answer
A temporary increase in taxation on higher income earners via the temporary budget repair levy is contractionary, as it raises government revenue. Other initiatives that reduce government expenditure include raising the pension age and reducing federal funding on hospitals and education. The pausing of indexation of various transfer payments and government programs have a neutral budget impact. There were smaller expansionary measures to assist low-income, single-parent households and to increase the older worker participation rate, however, when combining initiatives, it becomes apparent that the main budget priority is contractionary — to reduce spending to either reduce a budget deficit or stabilise a high rate of economic growth. This assumes the net change in other budget items are nil.
| Descriptor | Marks |
|---|---|
Classifies the temporary budget repair levy as government revenue (contractionary) and classifies the single parent allowance as government spending (expansionary) | 1 |
Classifies the age pension as expansionary as participation rate is higher or contractionary as government expenditure falls | 1 |
Classifies the pausing of indexation of transfer payments as not in government spending (neutral impact) | 1 |
Classifies the of federal government expenditure on hospitals and education as contractionary | 1 |
Explicitly identifies a fiscal stance | 1 |
Provides accurate details to support the conclusion | 1 |
Assumes ceteris paribus | 1 |
Which of the following is an example of a counter-cyclical demand-management policy?
an increase in transfer payments during a boom
a decrease in the cash rate during a boom
an increase in tax rates during a recession
an increase in infrastructure spending during a recession
Reveal Answer
an increase in transfer payments during a boom
Increasing transfer payments during a boom is a pro-cyclical policy, as it would further stimulate aggregate demand when the economy is already expanding.
a decrease in the cash rate during a boom
Decreasing the cash rate is an expansionary monetary policy that stimulates borrowing and spending, which is pro-cyclical and could lead to overheating during an economic boom.
an increase in tax rates during a recession
Increasing tax rates during a recession is a pro-cyclical policy, as it reduces disposable income and aggregate demand, which would worsen the economic downturn.
an increase in infrastructure spending during a recession
Increasing infrastructure spending is an expansionary fiscal policy that boosts aggregate demand, making it a counter-cyclical approach designed to stimulate the economy during a recession.
Consider the following data showing the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for a number of quarters in a hypothetical economy.
| Quarter | CPI |
|---|---|
| June 2020 | 110.0 |
| Sept. 2020 | 110.7 |
| Dec. 2020 | 111.1 |
| Mar. 2021 | 111.6 |
| June 2021 | 112.0 |
The inflation rate for the year ended June 2021 is
2%
1.8%
1%
0.8%
Reveal Answer
2%
This is the absolute difference in index points (), not the percentage change required to find the inflation rate.
1.8%
The annual inflation rate is the percentage change in the CPI over the year: .
1%
This is an incorrect calculation. The inflation rate must be calculated using the percentage change formula between June 2020 and June 2021.
0.8%
This is an incorrect calculation. The correct inflation rate is found by calculating the percentage change from June 2020 to June 2021.
Consider the following data.
- Employment in public administration and education has risen by 2.5 percentage points.
- Employment in recreation and retail has fallen by 2.3 percentage points.
Which statement correctly identifies the economic problem and the response required?
Resources are underutilised so fiscal policy should be contractionary.
Total unemployment has fallen so demand management should be neutral.
Cyclical economic activity is slowing so monetary policy should be expansionary.
Structural unemployment has decreased so aggregate supply policies should be used.
Reveal Answer
Resources are underutilised so fiscal policy should be contractionary.
If resources are underutilised (as suggested by the drop in private sector employment), the appropriate response is expansionary policy to boost demand, whereas contractionary policy would worsen the slowdown.
Total unemployment has fallen so demand management should be neutral.
Although the net change in employment is slightly positive, the specific decline in consumer-driven sectors signals weakening demand, meaning a neutral stance would fail to address the developing cyclical downturn.
Cyclical economic activity is slowing so monetary policy should be expansionary.
Recreation and retail are discretionary sectors highly sensitive to the business cycle; a fall in employment in these areas indicates slowing cyclical activity, which is typically countered with expansionary monetary policy to stimulate aggregate demand.
Structural unemployment has decreased so aggregate supply policies should be used.
The shift in employment between very different sectors (retail vs. public administration) implies a skills mismatch that could actually increase structural unemployment, rather than decrease it.
The table shows labour market data for an economy.
| Year | Labour force ('000) | Employed persons ('000) |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 580 | 550 |
| 2022 | 790 | 760 |
Based on the data in the table, fiscal policy measures
should be avoided because the number of employed persons has increased.
do not need to be changed because the employment rate is unchanged.
could be contractionary because the unemployment rate is falling.
could be expansionary because the employment rate is rising.
Reveal Answer
should be avoided because the number of employed persons has increased.
An increase in the number of employed persons does not automatically mean fiscal policy should be avoided; if the economy is overheating, intervention may still be necessary.
do not need to be changed because the employment rate is unchanged.
The employment rate did change; it increased from approximately () in 2021 to () in 2022.
could be contractionary because the unemployment rate is falling.
The unemployment rate fell from roughly () to (). A falling unemployment rate suggests the economy is expanding and potentially overheating, making contractionary fiscal policy appropriate to control inflation.
could be expansionary because the employment rate is rising.
Expansionary policy is typically used to boost the economy when employment is low or falling; implementing it when the employment rate is already rising could lead to excessive inflation.
Assume this current data represents an economy similar to Australia’s economy.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Unemployment | 4.0% |
| Underemployment | 5.8% |
| Underlying inflation | 6.5% |
| Headline inflation | 7.3% |
| Non-accelerating inflationary rate of unemployment | 3.8% |
| Real gross domestic product per annum | 1.8% |
| Wage Price Index | 3.1% |
| Public debt | 120% of GDP |
Ceteris paribus, which are the appropriate economic management decisions?
monetary policy contractionary and fiscal policy expansionary
monetary policy contractionary and fiscal policy neutral
monetary policy neutral and fiscal policy contractionary
monetary policy neutral and fiscal policy neutral
Reveal Answer
monetary policy contractionary and fiscal policy expansionary
While contractionary monetary policy is necessary to curb high inflation, expansionary fiscal policy would be inappropriate as it would further fuel inflation and worsen the already high public debt (120% of GDP).
monetary policy contractionary and fiscal policy neutral
With inflation significantly above target (7.3%) and unemployment near the NAIRU, contractionary monetary policy is required to cool demand. Fiscal policy should remain neutral to avoid exacerbating inflation or debt levels while not overly suppressing the relatively low GDP growth (1.8%).
monetary policy neutral and fiscal policy contractionary
Neutral monetary policy is insufficient because underlying inflation (6.5%) and headline inflation (7.3%) are far above standard targets, necessitating active intervention (rate hikes) to restore price stability.
monetary policy neutral and fiscal policy neutral
Adopting a neutral stance for both policies is incorrect because it ignores the severe inflationary pressures in the economy, which require contractionary measures to resolve.